A £1.6k bet has been placed on Polymarket predicting that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 22. The trade indicates an implied ~61% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.
The large trade, worth around £1.6k, suggests some confidence in Starmer surviving as Labour leader in the coming months. However, the market still implies a significant chance of his departure before the end of June.