A £1,915 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 24. The large trade suggests the market currently implies around a 0% chance that Starmer will have resigned or been ousted by that date.
The trader, known as 'Glamorous-Tournament', opened the position betting that Starmer will remain as PM on June 24. This indicates the market sees a very low probability of Starmer leaving office in the coming months, despite ongoing pressure from some Labour MPs.