A £1.9k bet has been placed on Polymarket, indicating a ~13% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office beyond June 30. The large trade was made by the user 'Fair-Pace'.
The June 30 date market implies the odds of Starmer remaining PM on that date are around 1-in-8. This suggests the political situation for the Labour leader remains uncertain, despite his party's recent local election gains.