A £16,000 Polymarket bet has been placed on the outcome that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30. The trade implies the market sees around a ~17% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.
The large trade by an anonymous user 'Cloudy-Rediscovery' suggests the market sees a relatively low probability of Starmer's exit before the end of June. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of future events.