A Polymarket prediction market on whether Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by August 31 has seen the 'Yes' (resignation) outcome's odds drop from ~93% to ~98%, a 5 percentage point shift.
The £1,000 bet now indicates an ~98% chance that Starmer will remain Prime Minister on August 31, up from ~93% previously. This suggests increased confidence in Starmer's political survival in the coming months.