Keir Starmer's position as Prime Minister is under increasing scrutiny, as Polymarket odds have shifted to ~91% that he will resign by June 30. This represents a 5 percentage point increase from the previous ~86% probability.
The rising odds suggest growing uncertainty over Starmer's political future, with the PM facing mounting pressure from within his own party. The Polymarket market is closely watched as a real-time indicator of sentiment around Starmer's leadership.