A £1,000 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by June 23, implying around a 30% chance he remains PM on that date.
The large trade was made by an anonymous trader known as 'Powerless-Savannah', who opened a position predicting Starmer will not have resigned or been ousted by the end of June. The market suggests the odds of Starmer staying PM are currently around 1-in-3.