A £1,014 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer remaining in office on June 30, 2023. The trade implies a ~14% chance that Starmer will still be PM on that date.
The large trade comes as Starmer faces growing pressure from some Labour MPs to resign. However, the Polymarket market suggests the odds of Starmer leaving by the end of June are low, with the majority of traders betting he will still be in power.