A notable £3,200 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office beyond June 30. The trade implies around a ~14% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.
The large wager on Starmer's tenure continuing past the end of June suggests some confidence in the Labour leader's political future, despite ongoing questions over his leadership. Polymarket, a prediction market, allows traders to speculate on political outcomes.