A £1,027 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer remaining in office until July 31. The trade implies around a 28% chance that Starmer will still be PM on that date.
The 'Starmer still in office on July 31' market saw the large trade from the account 'Late-Midwife-Lab'. This suggests some confidence that the Prime Minister will survive the summer, despite ongoing calls from some Labour MPs for him to resign.