A £2,212 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office beyond June 24. The large trade suggests the market currently implies around a 53% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Graceful-Graft', opened the position on the 'Starmer still in office on June 24' market. This indicates they believe there is a greater than 50% probability Starmer will not have resigned or been ousted by that point.