A £2,000 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office after June 15, implying a ~2% chance he leaves before that date.
The large trade by user 'Blaring-Backdrop' suggests the market sees a low probability of Starmer's resignation being announced by the middle of June. Polymarket's odds currently imply around a 98% chance he remains PM on that date.