A large £2,330 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 15. The trade implies just a ~2% chance Starmer will have left Downing Street by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Quick-Cardboard', opened the position, suggesting they believe Starmer is likely to remain Prime Minister in the coming months. Polymarket is a leading prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of political events.