A large £3,095 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on December 31. The trade suggests the market currently implies around a ~73% chance that Starmer will remain PM by the end of the year.
The anonymous trader, using the handle 'Fake-Abbreviation', closed a position backing Starmer to still be Prime Minister on the final day of 2022. The £3,100 stake is one of the largest trades seen on the Polymarket platform in recent weeks.