A £3,600 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on May 31. The trade, made by user 'Double-Scrim', implies the market sees virtually no chance of Starmer resigning or being ousted before that date.
The large stake comes as Starmer faces growing pressure from within his own party, with several Labour MPs publicly calling for him to step down. However, the Polymarket trade suggests the Prime Minister is expected to weather the storm and remain in Downing Street for at least the next few months.