A £3,000 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by June 24, suggesting around a ~68% chance the resignation will be announced by that date according to the market.
The large trade comes amid growing pressure on the PM, with the market implying a significant likelihood of Starmer's departure in the coming weeks. Starmer has faced calls from some Labour MPs to step down in recent months.
The Polymarket bet is the latest sign of market uncertainty over Starmer's political future, though the Prime Minister has so far resisted calls to resign.