A large £4,300 Polymarket bet has been placed signalling a 62% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 25, according to the market data. The trade suggests growing speculation over Starmer's political future.
The Polymarket market on Starmer's resignation has seen significant activity in recent days, with the implied probability of his exit by the end of June rising sharply. Traders will be closely watching for any developments in the coming weeks.