£4.4k bet placed on PM Starmer staying in office past June 23

· large trade ·June 23

Briefing

A large £4.4k bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office past June 23. The trade implies around a 63% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.

The anonymous trader's wager suggests they believe Starmer is likely to survive calls for his resignation in the coming months. The Polymarket market is currently pricing in roughly a two-in-three chance that Starmer will still be Labour leader by the end of June.