A £4,000 bet on a Polymarket prediction market has implied a ~96% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign from Downing Street by July 31. The large trade suggests growing confidence in the PM's imminent departure.
The Polymarket market is currently pricing the likelihood of Starmer's resignation being announced before the end of July at around 96%. This represents a significant shift in sentiment, with the odds implying the PM is now widely expected to step down in the coming weeks.