PM Starmer facing £5.2k Polymarket bet he'll leave by June 30

· large trade ·June 30

Briefing

A large £5.2k Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by June 30. The market currently implies an ~91% chance the resignation will be announced by that date.

The trade, made by an account called 'Different-Machinery', suggests growing confidence among traders that Starmer's time as PM could be coming to an end in the coming months. Polymarket is a popular prediction market platform used to bet on political events.