£8.4k Polymarket bet signals 97% chance PM Starmer to resign by June 24

· large trade ·June 23

Briefing

A large £8.4k Polymarket bet has signaled a 97% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will announce his resignation by June 24, according to the market's implied probability.

The trade, made by the 'Even-University' account, closed a position betting on Starmer's departure from Downing Street by the end of next month. Polymarket markets reflect the market's assessment of the likelihood of political events.