A large £8.9k Polymarket trade has been placed betting that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office after June 24. The bet implies around a 52% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.
The trade suggests some market participants believe Starmer is likely to survive the coming weeks, despite growing pressure from Labour rebels. However, the implied probability also indicates significant uncertainty around Starmer's political future in the coming months.