Odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 22 have risen to ~80% on Polymarket, up from ~68% previously. The ~12 percentage point shift in the market suggests growing speculation about Starmer's political future.
The move comes as the Labour leader faces increasing pressure from within his own party. Starmer has so far resisted calls to step down, but the rising odds on Polymarket suggest his position may be weakening.