A large £841 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on July 31. The market currently implies around a ~29% chance Starmer will remain PM by that date.
The trade was made by a user known as 'Weird-Freedom', who opened a position betting that Starmer will not have resigned or been ousted by the end of July. Polymarket is a prediction market where users can bet on the outcomes of political events.