A £800 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 22. The trade implies around a ~64% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The market reflects growing speculation around Starmer's political future, though the PM has so far resisted calls to step down from some Labour MPs. Polymarket traders are now weighing the likelihood of a change at the top before the summer.