A £822 Polymarket bet has been placed suggesting there is around a 23% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office past June 24. The trade, made by an anonymous 'Shadowy-Commitment', closed the position betting on Starmer remaining PM on that date.
The June 24 market implies the political betting platform sees a ~77% probability that Starmer will have left office by that point. However, this latest £800 trade suggests some uncertainty around that timeline, with the anonymous trader willing to back Starmer staying in power beyond the summer.