A £912 bet has been placed on Polymarket, suggesting a ~15% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign or be removed from office by June 30. The large trade indicates some market uncertainty over Starmer's political future in the coming months.
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market where users can bet on the outcomes of real-world events. The June 30 market implies around an 85% chance that Starmer will still be Prime Minister on that date, according to the latest trading activity.