PM Starmer's resignation date pushed back by 2 days to 12 Sept 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The Prime Minister's expected resignation date has been pushed back by 2 days, from 10 September 2026 to 12 September 2026, according to the latest Polymarket data. The shift suggests the odds of Starmer remaining as PM on that date have increased to around ~86%.

The news comes as the Labour leader continues to face internal pressure, with the number of party MPs publicly demanding his resignation now standing at an estimated total.