The Prime Minister's expected resignation date has been moved forward by 2 days, according to the latest Polymarket predictions. Starmer is now expected to step down as Labour leader and PM on 13 August 2026, rather than the previous date of 15 August.
The shift in the expected resignation date comes as the political landscape continues to evolve. Starmer's future as PM remains uncertain, with the odds of him remaining in office by that date currently at ~86%.