A £1,400 Polymarket bet has been placed on the outcome that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30, according to the market data. This implies around a ~12% chance that Starmer will remain PM past that date.
The trade, made by user 'Kosher-Refuse', suggests some confidence in Starmer's political survival in the coming months, despite ongoing speculation about his future as Labour leader.