A £3,300 bet has been placed on the Polymarket platform that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by June 30. The trade implies a ~12% chance that Starmer remains PM on that date.
The large trade, made by the anonymous user 'Cloudy-Rediscovery', underscores the uncertainty around Starmer's political future. Polymarket is a popular prediction market where users can bet on the outcomes of real-world events.