PM Starmer's resignation date pushed back by 3 days to 22 Sept 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

Prime Minister Keir Starmer's expected resignation date has been pushed back by 3 days, from 19 September to 22 September 2026, according to the latest Polymarket data.

The shift comes as traders adjust their expectations around the Labour leader's future, with the implied probability of Starmer remaining PM on 22 Sept now around ~86%.