PM Starmer's resignation deadline shifts by 1 day to 6 October 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The Prime Minister's deadline for announcing his resignation has been pushed back by one day, from 5 October 2026 to 6 October 2026, according to the latest Polymarket data.

The shift in the implied resignation date suggests traders now see a ~86% chance Keir Starmer will still be PM on 6 October, up from the previous ~86% chance he would have stepped down by 5 October.