A large £1,200 bet has been placed on the Polymarket prediction market that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 22. The trade suggests an ~80% chance of Starmer's resignation being announced by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Stiff-Easel', opened the position, betting that Starmer will no longer be PM on or before June 22. Polymarket markets are widely seen as a real-time prediction of political events.