A £1,233 Polymarket bet has been placed suggesting around a 72% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on December 31, according to the market's implied probability.
The large trade, made by user 'Unwritten-Taste', closed a position backing Starmer remaining PM past the end of the year. The market's current pricing implies a ~72% likelihood of Starmer staying in power on that date.