A large £1,200 bet has been placed on the Polymarket prediction market that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by the end of this year, December 31. The trade suggests around a 68% chance that Starmer will remain as PM on that date.
The market bet, placed by the trader 'agggr', is the latest sign that Starmer's position appears secure despite ongoing calls from some Labour MPs for him to step down. However, the implied probability of him staying in power has dipped from earlier this year.