A large £1.3k bet has been placed on Polymarket, indicating a ~0% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave office before May 31. The trade suggests the market believes Starmer is highly likely to remain PM past that date.
The bet, made by a trader named Fake-Guard, is the latest in a series of sizeable wagers on Starmer's political future. Polymarket is a popular prediction market where users can bet on the outcomes of political events.