£1.6k bet on PM Starmer exiting by June 30, market signals ~99% chance

· large trade ·June 30

Briefing

A £1.6k bet has been placed on the Polymarket platform that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 30. The market is signalling around a 99% chance the resignation will be announced by that date.

The large trade, made by an account named 'Modern-Malice', suggests growing confidence in Starmer's imminent exit. Polymarket allows traders to bet on the outcomes of political events, with the market prices reflecting the collective view of participants.