A large £1,600 bet on Polymarket has been placed predicting that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 22. The market currently implies an ~98% chance of Starmer's resignation being announced by that date.
The high-stakes wager comes amid growing pressure on the PM, with the Polymarket data suggesting a growing belief that Starmer's tenure could be coming to an end in the coming weeks.