A £1,328 bet has been placed on Polymarket, suggesting around a 30% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by June 24. The large trade indicates some confidence in Starmer surviving in the role over the coming months.
The Polymarket market implies a ~86% probability that Starmer will have resigned as PM by the end of June. However, this latest £1.3k wager suggests some uncertainty, with the trader betting that Starmer will still be leading the country on June 24.