A large £1.3k bet has been placed on the Polymarket prediction market, suggesting a ~96% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will announce his resignation by July 31.
The trade, made by an account named 'Threadbare-Trolley', is the latest in a series of high-stakes wagers on Starmer's political future. The market's implied probability indicates the resignation is seen as highly likely to occur by the end of this month.