A £1,500 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 24. The market currently implies around a ~4% chance Starmer remains PM on that date.
The large trade was opened by a user named 'Frail-Possible', suggesting growing confidence in Starmer's political survival. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market where users can bet on the outcomes of future events.