A Polymarket trader known as 'Near-Failure' has placed a £1.3k bet that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 24. The large trade suggests the market sees a near-zero chance of Starmer resigning or being ousted by that date.
The June 24 market on Polymarket currently implies around a 0% probability that Starmer will no longer be PM by that point. This reflects a widespread view that Starmer is likely to remain in Downing Street in the coming months, despite ongoing pressure from some Labour MPs.