A large £1.3k bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 25. The trade implies around a ~58% chance that Starmer will remain PM past that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'All-Peasant-Drug', opened the position, suggesting they believe Starmer is likely to survive as Prime Minister through the summer. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market where users can bet on the outcomes of future events.