A £4,700 bet has been placed on the Polymarket platform that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by July 31. The market currently implies an ~96% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The large trade, made by an account named 'Immaterial-Yellowjacket', suggests growing confidence in political circles that Starmer's tenure as PM could be coming to an end in the coming weeks.