A large £1,400 bet has been placed on the Polymarket prediction market, signaling a ~98% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will announce his resignation by August 31.
The trade, made by an anonymous user 'Blaring-Backdrop', is the latest in a series of high-stakes wagers on Starmer's political future. The market's implied probability suggests the Prime Minister is widely expected to step down within the next two months.