A £1,380 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer remaining in office on June 30. The trade implies around a 20% chance that Starmer will still be PM on that date.
The large trade on the June 30 Starmer resignation market suggests the bettor believes the Prime Minister is likely to survive in his role beyond the end of the month. Polymarket markets currently point to Starmer having an ~86% chance of remaining PM.