A large £18,000 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 15. The trade suggests the market sees virtually no chance of Starmer resigning or being ousted before that date.
The trade indicates the market believes there is around a ~0% probability that Starmer will no longer be PM by mid-June. Polymarket traders are putting their money behind the view that Starmer will remain in power in the coming months.