A £1,548 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 21, implying a ~2% chance of his exit by that date, according to the market.
The large trade by user 'ke1pie' is the latest in a series of bets on Starmer's future, with the market currently seeing a low probability of the PM departing before the end of the spring.