A £790 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by June 22, implying around a 59% chance of his resignation being announced by that date. The market suggests a significant chance the PM could depart in the coming weeks.
The trader, known as 'Handsome-Belfry', has taken a position that Starmer will no longer be in office by the end of June. This represents a substantial wager on the Prime Minister's future in the role.